Exactly, that’s what I am starting to realise.

The 538 model shows basically the opposite

Didn't know Nate Silver was a right winger lol

His model apparently weighs some shoddy ass right leaning pollsters higher than more reputable ones.

I also, I think he’s literally paid by Peter Thiel or something.

Like, I would not put it past some pollsters to juice numbers to benefit Trump so that his team has “legitimate” polls to show him.

The 538 model is a f***ing joke

That being said, the reason Nate’s model has not shown that much movement is because there haven’t been many high quality state polls released post debate. If Kamala looks better in those than she did pre debate, it will probably be 50/50

Wow I knew you were a partisan Dem but you’re actually BlueMaga level

Nate has literally said on multiple occasions that he’s voting for Kamala — not that that should matter in the slightest, given that he has all of the data laid out on his site for how his model works. It’s based on completely objective information (here’s how he rates/weights pollsters: natesilver.net/p/pollster-ratings-silver-bulletin )

Not to mention the Peter Theil thing is just a psycho BlueMaga people on Twitter thing — Nate has worked as an adviser to Polymarket, and the only connection there is that Theils company invested in Polymarket. It’s a baseless connection that paycho partisan Dems are grasping at straws to make because Nate was one of the early people that said Biden should withdraw because he had no chance and they got mad at him for calling out the truth.

I find it extremely disturbing that there are people peddling this BS about objective sources on both the right and the left now. If you don’t think Nate’s model is objective, check out the data he publicly posts and tell me what you find subjective about it. Please get the f*** out of your partisan Twitter bubble.

I’m not even a dem, I’m a registered independent. I’ve only ever voted in 2020 and I live in rural ass Texas.

From what I’ve gathered Kamala took a big hit to her average because she didn’t get the typical “convention bump” because it seems like her entire campaign up until that point was just constant build up and momentum.

At the end of the day, it always comes down to enthusiasm.

this guy wasn’t playing

You are a schizo man

You don’t need to be a registered Dem to be peddling pro-Dem stuff. Just saying please use more critical thinking when you see partisan stuff on Twitter

Okay, then I’m wrong and I read bad info, that’s on me.

I mean has it been? Feel like it’s literally been all that CNN/other news networks/news sites have been talking about since it happened

It’s def not getting the traffic here on KTT, but I don’t think it’s been a dead story in the news media at large at all

The news can hammer it as much as they want, ultimately it comes down to whether or not people watching actually give of much of a s***, and they seemingly shrugged the first time it happened and many of us saw it happen live in HD.

The circumstances of this were less dramatic and the SS showed to be actually efficient in preventing it, plus the would be assassin is overtly disturbed to a degree beyond that of his last assassin.

Also probably doesn’t help that the Trump campaign hasn’t exactly appeared the most stable for the past week or so.

Also, no cool photo this time.

also scratched off the serial number

Anti Israel liberal Ryan Routh

Agreed, however I would say as I did in the election thread, that how the news media chooses to spend its time will have an effect. Unfortunately, Kamala was riding a wave of momentum from the debate that I’m sure she wishes would have stayed as the primary news story for at least one more week, but now it won’t.

Is this something TMo would be able to access regardless, or did he go out to assassinate the president and forget to turn off his location data?

wait so the guy isnt even dead?

Eh, I mean once this blows over she can keep bringing up the fact that Trump refuses to debate her again.

Also, the Haitian bullshit doesn’t seem to be going away, schools in Ohio were literally being evacuated this morning due to continued bomb threats.

assassination attempts stacking up

CONTENT

S*** is gonna be a hot f***ing mess 100%.

Gonna be measuring distance from the election through assassination attempts as opposed to time.

We’re about 2 assassinations attempts away from election night.

damn he got too many limes in his hands

Trump is about to spike the f***ing ball with this Twitter Space.

Guaranteed to spew some absolutely unhinged s***.