he didn't expect to win for sure. Apparently they had a bunch of deals planned to use the campaign as a way to launch a media empire with TV deals and book deals for the whole family

but that's when f***ing jeb bush was leading in the polls

He def didn't look very happy when they announced he won

Trump has already won and I’m glad he did after Mala and Obama publicly patronized black men

Yeah I still gravitate towards this narrative that it was a decision to boost him and his family's profiles in the business world etc

You ain’t lying I remember watching that in real time and he looked like he was taken aback by being president like these mfs really voted me in

make sure you believe polls tho

Presidential physique right here

Not Jill. Never Jill.

Cornell all day

polymarket

There is no possible way the guy who lost last time could lose again

neither side doesn’t seem motaviated at all, doesn’t that usually favour the Rs

why do you keep posting this every other day as if literally anyone itt is saying that?

I post it every two weeks

on local politics: it's amazing how most "small" towns (really talking none cities here) essentially drive you to engage in civil duty due to the "smallness" of it all

not saying civil duty as in vote, but as in going out and attending townhalls to learn more about ballot measures

maybe its just my town, but looking online yielded next to nothing in the way of learning about the issues candidates are running on and their platforms. Most is a very basic website about the candidate and that's it.

you really have to take it upon yourself and get out to engage in townhalls and discussions to learn more about who your voting for

its nice

He will win

Oh yea, it’s easy to be involved in the community as well, def makes you feel like you’ve made more of a difference.

trump campaign wild for these ads they're running right now

319-219 Harris

I see it a little closer but this isn't impossible.

Like 286-252 Harris

The thing about the polling right now is that right wing polls are flooding the data, so I feel like Turmp seems to be over performing in that aspect. Plus I've even seen some of these polls not account for urban voters as much. It's odd.

On the reverse all of the polls are within the margin of error so this could easily swing Turmp's way.

I definitely see a scenario where she loses Michigan (due to the Arab American vote against her) but picks up NC while maintaining the rest of the swing states Biden won in 2020 by a slight margin.

I think it's going to be close in a sense of the margins she's going to win in each state, not necessarily the electoral count.

I see like a 271-267 map at worst and 319-219 at best for her.

For Trump I think his ceiling is 286-252

Looking at the early voting in PA and Georgia it seems like those are wins for her.

If their election calculus showed significant bleeding within Michigan and the country as a whole from the Arabic community, I think her platform would change a bit on the issue. It’s just not a pressing enough issue to the broadband electorate. Not saying she won’t change some actions from this administration if she’s in office.

I think trump meeds like 60% or more of the independent vote to break his way in PA. But those votes are younger, and less conservative so it seems impossible