Kamala on SNL
#queen
Feel like these three things will provide the best indicator for which way the race will go over the next 3 days:
1) Ann Selzer’s final Iowa poll — if it shows better numbers for Harris than Biden had in Iowa that bodes well for her in the rust belt swing states, if it is worse then that is bad news
2) NYTs final polls — by far the best pollster at not doing that herding BS, so it will be interesting to see what their final swing state polls say
3) Jon Ralston’s blog on Nevada’s early vote numbers — hasn’t been great for Harris so far there, but he said to keep an eye for if there is a late surge by Monday (he’s been saying they need to cut the GOP lead down to 20k)
I’m absolutely brine @ this first one
I thought if it showed Trump only having a +5 lead that would be very bad news for him (since he beat Biden by 8+ in Iowa in 2020, and Clinton by even more in 2016)
Harris up +3 from the best pollster this century though
Obviously this is an outlier (she doesn’t herd, so these are the numbers she got). But this is still horrible news for Trump. If his team isn’t having s*** hit the fan right now, I’d be amazed
I’m absolutely brine @ this first one
I thought if it showed Trump only having a +5 lead that would be very bad news for him (since he beat Biden by 8+ in Iowa in 2020, and Clinton by even more in 2016)
Harris up +3 from the best pollster this century though
Obviously this is an outlier (she doesn’t herd, so these are the numbers she got). But this is still horrible news for Trump. If his team isn’t having s*** hit the fan right now, I’d be amazed
Their cope-polls are +5 would be a rough ceiling if that’s as good as it gets for them
Is it worth sending Obama to Iowa? They’ve understandably neglected the state for the entire campaign but might as well send the guy they nominated twice to go do a little event and keep momentum going considering what’s happened by itself, with very little focus
Their cope-polls are +5 would be a rough ceiling if that’s as good as it gets for them
Is it worth sending Obama to Iowa? They’ve understandably neglected the state for the entire campaign but might as well send the guy they nominated twice to go do a little event and keep momentum going considering what’s happened by itself, with very little focus
This is really interesting.
Lowkey think the media has been focusing on Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, NC too much. Other states like Iowa may actually be in play that the campaigns haven’t considered.
Tuesday night gonna have some shock twists I feel like
These polls are making it look good for Harris right now. I don’t want to get my hopes up even a little and then Tuesday hits and Trump has it in the bag.
This is really interesting.
Lowkey think the media has been focusing on Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, NC too much. Other states like Iowa may actually be in play that the campaigns haven’t considered.
Tuesday night gonna have some shock twists I feel like
Yeah could definitely be a situation if she doesn’t win where we look back at it and see it as a big mistake that she spent so much time in Arizona and Georgia if she comes closer in Iowa (but ultimately loses it)
I think at this point it’s too little too late to try to fight there though
I’m absolutely brine @ this first one
I thought if it showed Trump only having a +5 lead that would be very bad news for him (since he beat Biden by 8+ in Iowa in 2020, and Clinton by even more in 2016)
Harris up +3 from the best pollster this century though
Obviously this is an outlier (she doesn’t herd, so these are the numbers she got). But this is still horrible news for Trump. If his team isn’t having s*** hit the fan right now, I’d be amazed
You are such an antisocial weirdo man
“I’m giving you the full bore” ay f***ing yo
“I’m giving you the full bore” ay f***ing yo
what did you mean by that Mr. Trump
Yeah could definitely be a situation if she doesn’t win where we look back at it and see it as a big mistake that she spent so much time in Arizona and Georgia if she comes closer in Iowa (but ultimately loses it)
I think at this point it’s too little too late to try to fight there though
I think the conventional wisdom to focus on a handful of states is gonna cost both of em. There’s more states in play than people realize tbh
Anecdotally, I’ve seen way more Trump signs in my area this election than I have in 2020 and 2016, and I’m in one of the bluest areas you can think of. I would not be surprise if he won it atp
the real danger to the palestine movement if trump wins is going to be sympathetic liberals abandoning it for the useless "anti-trump" movement which is certainly coming if he clinches
also its not like biden didn't deport a bunch of people already for purely political reasons (coughHaitianscough).
I wouldn't be worried about citizens getting deported, its actually absurdly difficult to do and its not like they're gonna kidnap you in the middle of the night and drop you off in Guadalajara.
true the mass deportation bullshit is def not happening. Concerning that even libs are giving it lipservice when its the most radical policy i ever heard from a president
I watched trumps speech right now in greensboro north carolina and watched kamalas earlier today in charolette and trump has a way better speech kamal read of a prepared thing for about 25 mins and donald went 1 hour or so mostly impromptu weaving and was more entertaining
What is this "weaving" meme lmao
If what Trump has been doing on stage over the last month is "weaving" then Biden has been doing that for the last 4 years, because Trump is starting to sound more like him every day
trump supporters itt: why do you support him? this isn’t bait, genuinely curious to learn
Bro doesn’t even want to do all of this man lmao, he just want to be on the couch getting his d*** licked