democrats can really only appeal to black people through hip hop figures, barbershop talks or balloon popping dating videos

He has in his favor that a whole lot of ppl who considered him Hitler in 2020 have had a ROUGH last 4 years

100%

This just me I place more faith in betting odds on most things cuz they seem to magically know all...and they don't have it as a landslide right now

PredictIt has placed a 51% chance of a Harris victory on Tuesday, marking the vice president’s first lead over Trump—who trails Harris at 49% odds—on the site since Oct. 9

Other betting markets still favor Trump in the presidential race: Trump leads Harris 59.5%-40.6% on Polymarket, 56%-44% on Kalshi—where Harris received a one-point boost on Saturday—and 58.2%-40.9% on Smarkets.

Just be aware the betting markets are skewed towards conservatives who are more likely to use it, and the amount of big money getting pumped into these markets frim crypto accounts , millionaires hoping Trump wins

There’s already been a bunch of talk around the markets crashing prematurely too as the Iowa polls have cussed a lot of the heavy spenders for Trump in the markets to pull out

Interesting

I don’t think it’ll be a landslide either, that’s not to write off betting markets entirely of course I’m sure they’re are some more accurate than others

But in general I think it’s something to be aware of when gauging support especially on places like X, with Elon specifically having a hand in making sure crypto, gambling, betting acocounts and promo all get pushed more in your algorithm and there’s definitely a tendency for what politics those types end up going towards.

Man is the biggest baby alive, goddamn.

Kamala owes these two people the best sinecures of all time

Sinecure

noun

1. An ecclesiastical benefice without the care of souls.

2. Any office or position which requires or involves little or no responsibility, labor, or active service.

Just a tremendous word folks!

Had to read that two times to get that word right. Never heard of it

Now you know! Always happy to help people learn new words 🫡

Definitely

Need some help understanding the first definition though

Straight white men are the overwhelming majority of people who gamble. Use that info how you must

That the original definition of the word - basically it meant someone who was a member of the clergy but who didn’t have to interact with any lay people, so they earned a living from the Church but avoided the hard work of leading services, performing religious ceremonies for people, giving support to people in need, and so on. From this, the definition was broadened to mean any “job” where you get paid without really working.

Damn this is quality etymology, thank you.

How did you learn this? Do you have any go to online resources for learning about how words change and their history?

A French trader wagered $30 million on betting website Polymarket that Donald Trump will win the presidential election.

Most people who bet on elections are likely conservative.

I would never bet on Gambling websites over polling methods that have been used for decades

30 million

Tbh I wasn’t aware of the original definition of sinecure until just now, so I did double check with the Wikipedia entry for sinecure that my interpretation of that definition (priestly position who doesn’t interact with parishioners) was more or less correct

In general Wiktionary is good, it will have the dictionary definition(s) of the word, but will usually also have etymology (sometimes stretching back even to Proto-Indo-European), synonyms/antonyms, connected words, cognates in other languages, etc (and Wiktionary is good for many languages besides English)

Also cool is if you go to eg the Proto-Indo-European root wodr, you can see all the words that derived from it, as well as the two other Indo-European words for water, and can click on those and see all the words that derive from those

Better than the black church and playing the saxophone on Arsenio

It’s crazy how that Charli campaign seems so far away

Ew

Yeah not sure why they dropped it, those were Kamala’s strongest two weeks

Either way a pivotal moment