OPNov 17, 2021·1 reply
vaylaalso, my #1 bet this weekend is Panthers -3. especially considering Chase Young was ruled out for the year. riding with Cam
Bro we can’t trust cam to catch up a whole training camp and 9 weeks of games in 10 days. I think ppl are overreacting off 2 plays last week thinking cam will actually be able to operate the entire offense this week
- OPNov 17, 2021
Mind you jayla is like 60% while I’m hitting 40 😅
- Nov 17, 2021·1 replyJANGLE
Bro we can’t trust cam to catch up a whole training camp and 9 weeks of games in 10 days. I think ppl are overreacting off 2 plays last week thinking cam will actually be able to operate the entire offense this week
i think that's a fair argument. here's why i'm on the Panthers:
Darnold was absolutely terrible the few weeks prior to his injury. like it was "worst QB of all time" tier:
even a scrub like PJ Wilson was able to move the chains well. definitely a big reliance on CMC for checkdowns (10 receptions on 10 targets) but that's something even Cam could do.
with Chase Young out for the year (and Sweat already out), WFT don't have any good edge rushers so they'll likely need to blitz more in order to get pressure on Cam. that should open up the field more for Cam to make hot reads, so i don't think there will be a heavy reliance on the offensive playbook.
the Panthers have an elite D too. #2 in yards allowed per game. #5 in points allowed per game. i trust them to hold it down like they have in previous weeks. Darnold was letting them down big time even when the D would gift him great field position.
and lastly, it's Cam Newton playing at home. the stadium will be rocking
3 is a key number so that's why i took it. i wouldn't take Panthers -3.5, but i'm willing to take -3 just so that i can fall back on a push if they win by 3. but i'm pretty sure they'll win by 7+ on the back of CMC and their D
- OPNov 17, 2021·1 replyvayla
i think that's a fair argument. here's why i'm on the Panthers:
Darnold was absolutely terrible the few weeks prior to his injury. like it was "worst QB of all time" tier:
https://twitter.com/CTowersCBS/status/1458309780007706624even a scrub like PJ Wilson was able to move the chains well. definitely a big reliance on CMC for checkdowns (10 receptions on 10 targets) but that's something even Cam could do.
with Chase Young out for the year (and Sweat already out), WFT don't have any good edge rushers so they'll likely need to blitz more in order to get pressure on Cam. that should open up the field more for Cam to make hot reads, so i don't think there will be a heavy reliance on the offensive playbook.
the Panthers have an elite D too. #2 in yards allowed per game. #5 in points allowed per game. i trust them to hold it down like they have in previous weeks. Darnold was letting them down big time even when the D would gift him great field position.
and lastly, it's Cam Newton playing at home. the stadium will be rocking
3 is a key number so that's why i took it. i wouldn't take Panthers -3.5, but i'm willing to take -3 just so that i can fall back on a push if they win by 3. but i'm pretty sure they'll win by 7+ on the back of CMC and their D
This made me like the under too.
I see why you like panthers based off that tweet. I think panthers will be better w cam, just not right away.
Team was able to move the ball well against the packers d, but kept turning the ball over in the red zone. Turnovers are Random game to game.
I liked panthers when I first saw the line too, but I think team has value here.
Either way one of us cash 🤝🕺🏿
- Nov 17, 2021JANGLE
This made me like the under too.
I see why you like panthers based off that tweet. I think panthers will be better w cam, just not right away.
Team was able to move the ball well against the packers d, but kept turning the ball over in the red zone. Turnovers are Random game to game.
I liked panthers when I first saw the line too, but I think team has value here.
Either way one of us cash 🤝🕺🏿
🤝
Nov 18, 2021·1 replyvaylait's impossible to share my NBA bets. the reason is because i take advantage of mispriced lines off injury reports. it's the only way i can "beat" Vegas. i shared my strategy in the other thread, this is what i follow to a tee:
so just to give you an example: on Monday, Jarrett Allen was randomly listed "doubtful" due to a sudden illness:
https://twitter.com/Underdog__NBA/status/1460359539430203392the Cavs have a lot of injuries right now -- Allen, Markkanen, Love all out -- so Evan Mobley was basically their only big man. i knew the market would change to reflect that news, so i went all in on Mobley over 7.5 rebounds.
my book (Bet365) closed all their lines about 30 seconds after the news was reported, but i was able to beat them. so when they re-opened the lines, his line was re-adjusted to 9.5 rebounds. they were offering me ~$660 just to cash out before the game started
i kept the bet because i knew it was insanely good value, and he finished the game with 10 rebounds, so i got a huge win off a mispriced line:
it's not a 100% guaranteed way to make money, but it puts you in the best position to win NBA bets. it just requires you to have good knowledge of NBA teams/players, and to be very quick because you're essentially competing against multi-billion dollar companies:
hope that explanation makes sense. LMK if you need any clarification
Imma try this out and see if I can profit off it good looks
- Nov 18, 2021KingYeezus
Imma try this out and see if I can profit off it good looks
- OPNov 19, 2021
Patriots -7.5
- Nov 19, 2021
Backing jangle on this one
- OPNov 19, 2021·edited
Lakers Celtics over 214.5
Magic +12.5
Bucks -12.5
Suns -8.5 - Nov 19, 2021
had no idea Cordarelle Patterson was out for the Falcons
- OPNov 21, 2021
Browns -11.5
Dolphins jets under 44.5
Football team +3.5
Football team panthers under 43
Texans +10.5
Packers -1
Packers Vikings over 47
Hawks Pk
Cowboys chiefs over 56 
Unity 💯Nov 21, 2021Panthers -3
Colts +7
Bengals -1
Cowboys +2.5
Packers/Vikings u49.5
Dolphins/Jets u45
Titans/Texans u44.5
Cardinals/Seahawks u50- Nov 21, 2021·edited
Ravens/Bears - will be deciding based on Lamar injury news. if he's in, Ravens -5 and over 43. if he's out, Bears +5 ✅ and under 43 ✅.
Texans +10.5 ✅
Texans/Titans under 44.5 ✅Eagles -2.5 ✅
Eagles/Saints under 43 ❌Jets +3.5 ❌
Dolphins/Jets over 44.5 ❌Colts +7 ✅
Colts/Bills over 49.5 ✅Browns -10.5 ❌
Browns/Lions under 42.5 ✅Vikings +1 ✅
Vikings/Packers over 47.5 ✅Panthers -3 ❌
Panthers/WFT under 43 ❌49ers -6.5 ✅
49ers/Jaguars over 45 ✅Bengals -1.5 ✅
Bengals/Raiders under 50.5 ✅Seahawks -2.5 ❌
Seahawks/Cardinals under 49.5 ✅Chiefs -2.5 ✅
Chiefs/Cowboys over 56 ❌Steelers +6 ✅
Steelers/Chargers over 47.5 ✅ - Nov 21, 2021vayla· edited
just checked all of the spread/totals picks i've posted in this thread (updated 11/26, after Thanksgiving games)
overall record: 122-75-3
win rate: 61%ATS record: 59-40-1
ATS win rate: 59%totals record: 63-35-2
totals win rate: 63%updated this with all my latest picks ITT. been doing pretty poorly with spread bets the last month. down from 60% to 56%. totals remaining consistent
Nov 21, 2021·editedBateman and MVS touchdowns
Bears +5 and Steelers +5- Nov 22, 2021
these b******s might actually get me my money
- Nov 22, 2021·1 reply
im still new to this so im wondering whats the strat supposed to be when it comes to deciding on how much you spend on bets each week? do you guys use a flat amount each time or do yall use a percentage of your lifetime winnings or something?
- Nov 22, 2021
Tonight picks?
- OPNov 22, 2021Tranquility
im still new to this so im wondering whats the strat supposed to be when it comes to deciding on how much you spend on bets each week? do you guys use a flat amount each time or do yall use a percentage of your lifetime winnings or something?
Should just bet 1-2% of your bankroll max. But we here to get rich so I’m usually all on sundays unless I have a nice roll
- Nov 23, 2021
Raiders cowboys under 50.5
Falcs jags under 46 - OPNov 25, 2021
Lions ML +122
Lions Bears over 41
Raiders ML +277
Raiders Cowboys over 51.5
Saints ML +215
Saints Bills under 45 - Nov 25, 2021·edited
Lions +3.5 ✅
Lions/Bears under 41.5 ✅Raiders +7.5 ✅
Raiders/Cowboys under 51.5 ❌Bills -6 ✅
Bills/Saints under 45 ✅ - Nov 26, 2021
200 picks posted ITT. 61% overall win rate
- Nov 26, 2021
Ok im tilted from the cowboys and raiders ruining my parlay so its time for a tilt parlay to get that money back
Chargers ml
Vikings +3
Packers ml