Titans +6 ✅
Titans/Bills over 53.5 ✅
I’ve been posting picks for every NFL game the past month ITT at a 62% win rate
I’ve been posting picks for every NFL game the past month ITT at a 62% win rate
Do you rly bet every game ?
Do you rly bet every game ?
not all. but i like to check how consistent i could be across the board hence why i post picks for every game
I did the same in baseball this season for the first two months of the year. had a 54% win rate and a 6.05% ROI literally just by guessing.
with football I do a bit more research and there’s way fewer games. i’ve been way more consistent in that regard. so far in NFL i’ve got a 64% win rate and 22.1% ROI on every total/spread since the start of the season.
but I’m pretty sure variance will hit me sooner than later and i’ll have a horrible week
not all. but i like to check how consistent i could be across the board hence why i post picks for every game
I did the same in baseball this season for the first two months of the year. had a 54% win rate and a 6.05% ROI literally just by guessing.
with football I do a bit more research and there’s way fewer games. i’ve been way more consistent in that regard. so far in NFL i’ve got a 64% win rate and 22.1% ROI on every total/spread since the start of the season.
but I’m pretty sure variance will hit me sooner than later and i’ll have a horrible week
Stay hot bro
Broncos ML +107
Broncos browns over 40
Bucks+.5 1st qtr
Warriors -1 1st qtr
Dal atl under 224.5
going against all the sharps
couldn’t get Broncos +3.5 so this is how i’m compensating. weather looks like it’ll be s*** so I’m more confident in the total than the spread
Opposite again 😭
you got it this time i was on Broncos ML until i just saw the news 15 minutes ago about OBJ playing
you got it this time i was on Broncos ML until i just saw the news 15 minutes ago about OBJ playing
I liked Broncos ml when they were +5 before week 5. All the broncos love now has me scared tho
I liked Broncos ml when they were +5 before week 5. All the broncos love now has me scared tho
yeah +5 was a good line in hindsight.
but it’s so difficult to take underdogs early in the week because most lines inflate. casual bettors typically drift towards betting favourites, so generally the best time to bet on a dog is the day of the game.
for example i got an early Chiefs line of -3 for next week against the Titans. check now and the line is already -5.5 NFL betting is tough sometimes, it’s legit like you’re trying to be a clairvoyant lmbo
Looking at AJ dillon’s o/u on Rec yards. It’s only at 9.5, in a potential blow out game he could easily hit that
Salvon Ahmed’s o/u on receiving yards is only 7.5. He’s hit that every game he’s played but one, and that game he got 3 targets. In a potential close game with ATL I’m def betting this
Patriots to hit the longest field goal in their game against the jets is at plus odds. Nick Folk for the Patriots is a decent kicker and they’ll prolly have good opportunities to try for 50 yarders. Jets kicker has only attempted two FGs that were over 40 yards, and missed his only 50 yard attempt. Meanwhile Patriots kicker has made 6 out of 7 FGs from 40+, and his only miss was a long 50 yarder in bad weather
Pacers +1.5
Cavs +2.5
Nets -3
Nuggets -7
Lakers -1
almost the same as my parlay expect I got the spurs +7.5 and the Cavs ml
yeah +5 was a good line in hindsight.
but it’s so difficult to take underdogs early in the week because most lines inflate. casual bettors typically drift towards betting favourites, so generally the best time to bet on a dog is the day of the game.
for example i got an early Chiefs line of -3 for next week against the Titans. check now and the line is already -5.5 NFL betting is tough sometimes, it’s legit like you’re trying to be a clairvoyant lmbo
I love gotten to the point where I ignore line movement and betting percentages. Usually the line movement doesn’t effect the cover anyways
almost the same as my parlay expect I got the spurs +7.5 and the Cavs ml
Spurs don’t rly have any big men so I’m thinking jokic goes off tonight