So I actually ran the numbers because every outlet saying “Wednesday or Thursday reveal” clearly hasn’t thought about the physics.
The structure is roughly 5.4m x 13m footprint, about 3m tall on average. That’s somewhere around 200 tonnes of ice. A commercial ice truck hauls 20 tonnes. This is 10 of those stacked in a Toronto parking lot.
Current Toronto weather: 2°C, NW wind gusting to 41 km/h, mostly cloudy. Today is one of the slower melt days … barely above freezing.
Using convective heat transfer (the actual formula for how air temperature and wind pull heat out of a surface), here’s the rough daily melt by the forecast:
Today at ~5°C above freezing: ~13 tonnes gone
Wed-Fri at 12-16°C: ~28-34 tonnes/day
Weekend: another ~55 tonnes
The release date paper is assumed to be at the bottom. That’s the last ~13% of volume vertically, but it also gets ground heat rising from the dark asphalt below. My window for the actual reveal is April 27-29 … not Wednesday.
On touching/chipping it: security is on site and fans have already been told to back off. But honestly even if you got to it, you’d be dealing with the outermost edge blocks – the paper is buried in the center at the base. You’d need to remove probably 15+ rows of ice blocks to even get close. Not happening.
My bet is that Drake engineered this to land at a specific moment. The ice isn’t random – 200 tonnes at current Toronto temps is roughly a 7-10 day clock. That’s intentional. April 27-29.
Not reading all that. Regardless of if the ice melts or not they have a date in mind and they’ll just bust that b**** down.
Given that they’re letting people on it to f*** with it I’m assuming it’s this Friday.
this is crazy
Drake in the chat he said start from the top 😂😂
to put it quickly because of how heat gets exchanged with the outside area and air flowing between blocks the warmest areas are the core blocks with air flow unless it's over 40 degress fahrenheit in toronto rn
It ain't never been 40 degrees fahrenheit in Toronto
Yeah man Drake telling this guy to break it down from the top lmao. This isn’t staying long.
I love how he’s interacting with his fans during this rollout
Worst rollout ever
He’s leaving it to the fans to break the ice and get the album