Reply
  • Nov 1, 2024
    ·
    2 replies
    eye contact

    480km advanced in October

    North Korean troops deployed as part of Russian forces

    Makes me wonder how this war and Russia is portrayed in NK media

  • Nov 2, 2024
    JaeRell

    Makes me wonder how this war and Russia is portrayed in NK media

    as two partner countries allying against western forces

  • Nov 2, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    JaeRell

    Makes me wonder how this war and Russia is portrayed in NK media

    koreans are smart, the limited support for the war probably guaranteed them some security from increased threats from the south

  • Nov 2, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    snowboyrari

    koreans are smart, the limited support for the war probably guaranteed them some security from increased threats from the south

    its probably more so economics. NK is dried out and always in need of cash or investments which they're sanctioned from and have a largely-closed economy. Russia is now one of the few nations who wouldn't get immediate blowback for doing this because they're also heavily sanctioned.

    SK (actually, no one) is gonna really invade or harm NK. Their security dynamic makes it difficult to ever attempt. They're friendly with Russia and have a treaty-bound defense agreement with China, who perceives any SK/US advancement into NK as an existential threat. Oh yeah, they also have nukes

    i also think this whole thing is overblown and yet another talking point distraction from what's actually going on on the battlefield (Ukraine losing ground left and right and their side beginning to understand the U.S is slowly pulling out).

  • Nov 2, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    YANDHI

    its probably more so economics. NK is dried out and always in need of cash or investments which they're sanctioned from and have a largely-closed economy. Russia is now one of the few nations who wouldn't get immediate blowback for doing this because they're also heavily sanctioned.

    SK (actually, no one) is gonna really invade or harm NK. Their security dynamic makes it difficult to ever attempt. They're friendly with Russia and have a treaty-bound defense agreement with China, who perceives any SK/US advancement into NK as an existential threat. Oh yeah, they also have nukes

    i also think this whole thing is overblown and yet another talking point distraction from what's actually going on on the battlefield (Ukraine losing ground left and right and their side beginning to understand the U.S is slowly pulling out).

    I mean its both, they need to free up resources to invest in small and medium sized industry while still maintaining a focus on defense.

    their economy is actually doing okay and experienced positive growth in dealing with the effects of covid (which should be studied since Cuba is an economy of scale and of a similar qualitative nature that experienced repeated crises from the pandemic). the threats from the south shouldn't be taken lightly either.

  • Nov 2, 2024

    I agre with you that the story is very overblown and is mostly a training exercise for korean troops. it seems their role is primarily technical and I highly doubt you will see korean infantry shooting at ukrops in the trenches.

  • Nov 2, 2024
    snowboyrari

    I mean its both, they need to free up resources to invest in small and medium sized industry while still maintaining a focus on defense.

    their economy is actually doing okay and experienced positive growth in dealing with the effects of covid (which should be studied since Cuba is an economy of scale and of a similar qualitative nature that experienced repeated crises from the pandemic). the threats from the south shouldn't be taken lightly either.

    I agree for the most part... There's been a massive policy change in how NK views SK (ex. gave up on reunification ever being possible and SK is a "foreign enemy" now) so their posturing has significantly changed... just don't know about the SK threats part but regardless they do take this extremely seriously.

    I think they've accomplished sustaining themselves but the additional cash would be needed for other stuff Kim cares about like defense which you just said. At best i could see troops being used in Kursk (this is still Russia tho) but anything after would be odd and extremely hard to do nearly 3 years in

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    3 replies
  • Nov 6, 2024
    SolidSnaku
    https://twitter.com/gideonrachman/status/1853838042194235420

    Understandable

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    1 reply

    Yikes to this all from Zelenskyy to NATO and EU

    Zelenskyy's looking like a complete dumbass with how he handled that recent Trump meeting now

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    2 replies
    YANDHI

    Yikes to this all from Zelenskyy to NATO and EU

    Zelenskyy's looking like a complete dumbass with how he handled that recent Trump meeting now

    war aint gonna stop, the trumpist "anti-war" people have been played liked chumps

  • Nov 6, 2024
    SolidSnaku
    https://twitter.com/gideonrachman/status/1853838042194235420

    hell yeah

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    2 replies
    snowboyrari

    war aint gonna stop, the trumpist "anti-war" people have been played liked chumps

  • Nov 6, 2024
    snowboyrari

    war aint gonna stop, the trumpist "anti-war" people have been played liked chumps

    Well yeah i agree. Russia has no reason to stop or want it to stop now. Trump isn't an anti-war move or a push for negotiations. He has little reason to care and Biden's team was already slowly stepping away. That's bad if this is also the opening of a recent NYT piece:

    American military and intelligence officials have concluded that the war in Ukraine is no longer a stalemate as Russia makes steady gains, and the sense of pessimism in Kyiv and Washington is deepening.

    The "yikes" was to the blown opportunities in all of this. Trump isn't gonna care and outsiders who pushed for proposals before like China and Brazil absolutely don't care anymore cus they see the writing on the wall.

    Russia isn't gonna posture for negotiations lol that already died. This was Medvedev today:

    x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1854067976720597009

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    1 reply

    This isn't an event that keeps anyone up anymore unless you're in West Europe (maybe)

    Ukraine can't afford a lame duck period of no aid and then inherit a U.S president with nowhere near the urgency of Biden and who's also willing to just call Putin

  • Nov 6, 2024
    JaeRell
    https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1840163641708147037

  • Nov 6, 2024
    YANDHI

    This isn't an event that keeps anyone up anymore unless you're in West Europe (maybe)

    Ukraine can't afford a lame duck period of no aid and then inherit a U.S president with nowhere near the urgency of Biden and who's also willing to just call Putin

    their will eventually be a ceasefire but it ain't gonna be because of trump lol

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    JaeRell
    https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1840163641708147037

    He had to say that. That was right after the meeting i also referenced which went terribly and almost didn't happen cus Zelenskyy attacked Trump in the media beforehand

    These two do not like each other

  • Nov 6, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    YANDHI

    He had to say that. That was right after the meeting i also referenced which went terribly and almost didn't happen cus Zelenskyy attacked Trump in the media beforehand

    These two do not like each other

    https://twitter.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1839684261491638284

    who cares if they like each other or not

    so long as the weapons industry has a say, the war will continue until ukraine is in a position to negotiate.

  • Nov 6, 2024
    snowboyrari

    who cares if they like each other or not

    so long as the weapons industry has a say, the war will continue until ukraine is in a position to negotiate.

    Whens the last time GOP congress has enthusiastically passed a Ukraine aid bill? The Pentagon doesn't have extra weapons lying around anymore and the U.S is involved in other conflicts atm which its industries are at work in.

    Trumps next NSA, SecState and SecDef aren't going to care about Russia. They're gonna be China hawks and see this as a waste of time. I'm sure it'll continue in some respect but Russia got the election outcome it wanted and will just continue. Ukraine hasn't recovered large territory since October 2022 and its negotiation position has only worsened since Istanbul in March 2022

    Mr. Trump has promised to bring the war to a quick end, and his running mate, Senator JD Vance, has outlined a peace plan that looks a lot like one advanced by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia......
    The Pentagon assesses that Ukraine has enough soldiers to fight for six to 12 more months, one official said. After that, he said, it will face a steep shortage.

    nytimes.com/2024/11/01/us/politics/russia-ukraine-war.html

  • Nov 7, 2024

    WSJ piece on potential plans coming from Trump's advisors and likely foreign policy team. All of them seem to agree on freezing conflict, essentially solidifying Russia's gains and no NATO for Ukraine for foreseeable future.

    wsj.com/world/trump-presidency-ukraine-russia-war-plans-008655c0?mod=hp_lead_pos9

    Like in Trump’s first term, different factions are set to compete to influence the Republican’s foreign policy. More traditionally minded allies such as Mike Pompeo, the former secretary of state now in contention to lead the Pentagon, are likely to push for a settlement that doesn’t appear to give a major win to Moscow. Other advisers, particularly Richard Grenell, a top candidate to lead the State Department or serve as national-security adviser, could give priority to Trump’s desire to end the war as soon as possible, even if it means forcing Kyiv into significant concessions.
    The proposals all break from Biden’s approach of letting Kyiv dictate when peace talks should begin. Instead, they uniformly recommend freezing the war in place—cementing Russia’s seizure of roughly 20% of Ukraine—and forcing Ukraine to temporarily suspend its quest to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

    Highly doubt this will quickly come together the second he gets into office, but like i've warned in this thread for years they really f***ed up their negotiation window and now we're getting to the inevitable phase where U.S will just ignore them and figure things out with the adversary party (Russia)

  • Nov 7, 2024
    ·
    2 replies

    “We can do training and other support but the barrel of the gun is going to be European,” a member of Trump’s team said. “We are not sending American men and women to uphold peace in Ukraine. And we are not paying for it. Get the Poles, Germans, British and French to do it.”
    That proposal in some respects echoes comments made by Vice President-elect JD Vance during a September interview, when he suggested a final agreement between Ukraine and Russia could involve a demilitarized zone “heavily fortified so the Russians don’t invade again.” Russia, Vance continued, would get to keep the land it has taken and be assured of Ukraine’s neutrality.

  • Nov 8, 2024
    YANDHI

    “We can do training and other support but the barrel of the gun is going to be European,” a member of Trump’s team said. “We are not sending American men and women to uphold peace in Ukraine. And we are not paying for it. Get the Poles, Germans, British and French to do it.”
    That proposal in some respects echoes comments made by Vice President-elect JD Vance during a September interview, when he suggested a final agreement between Ukraine and Russia could involve a demilitarized zone “heavily fortified so the Russians don’t invade again.” Russia, Vance continued, would get to keep the land it has taken and be assured of Ukraine’s neutrality.

    And Israel?

    Oh yeah wait

  • Nov 8, 2024

    I'll believe it when I see it

  • SolidSnaku
    https://twitter.com/gideonrachman/status/1853838042194235420

    Crine