He's not winning Pennsylvania (barely won it last time against a less popular candidate, country is in shambles, Joe Biden is from there), Michigan (polling terribly there, Trump-associated governor kidnapping plot), or Wisconsin (new covid epicenter) and those are the three most important states. If Biden wins those three states and keeps all the Hillary states, he's over 270. It's a wrap.

Trump would have to flip Nevada or something. What other traditionally blue states are even remotely vulnerable?

People aren't pulling these predictions out of their ass. It's just that the margins were so narrow in 2016 that there's not a lot of room for Trump in 2020. He's basically got to run the table again with terrible approval ratings, a pandemic and a crippled economy.

Something really f***ed needs happen for trump to win

They tried the hunter biden one and it sorta fizzled about being fake

biden gonna get close to 400 electoral votes imo. not gonna be a crazy landslide but everything points to him winning comfortably, with the differences from 2016 accounted for

slightly related but aye bro can we talk about how FDR absolutely whooped this boy's ass in 1936. 523 to 8

jesus

1984 was a bloodbath too

Its gonna be a toss up

one of the worst presidents in hindsight

F*** we really 2 weeks from a presidential election

year to president ratio

absurd that you can get 58% of the popular vote and 97% of the electoral vote lol. winner take all system is f***ed.

electoral college

I was looking at historic electoral maps the other day

1972, 1980, 1984, and 1988 elections combined dems won 173 electoral votes, with 2 of those elections winning a single state

Crazy how it took 2 election cycles to go from republicans losing 44 states to winning 49

I’m guessing politics were less polarized then and people were more willing to flip sides depending on the candidate

Joe Biden is a trash ass candidate

Doesn’t even have a campaign slogan

I guarantee you the hindsight 20/20 assessment on his campaign will be

“ I can’t believe they strategized running a candidate with no message and sketch political history in hopes he’d take office only to die and have the Vice President become the first woman President in US history”

“They basically handed Trump the election”

Just know that the Dumb ass Democrats will need to completely rebrand and move further left to have a chance in 2024

1972 was as well. Imagine any candidate winning 49 states in modern America

yeah love looking at that s***. 270 to win is a great site for it 270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/timeline

No Malarkey!

Yeah I be f***ing around with the interactive maps lol, stumbled on a somewhat plausible scenario where Trump and Biden both get 269 electoral votes

Also found from that site Utah’s voting record which is wild lol, republicans winning with 90% until 2016

yeah lmao there's like a slightly less than 1% chance it's an electoral tie, would be so nuts

I f***ing can’t wait to stay up/wake up the 4rth

😂

Dumb asses following fake polls and bull s*** mainstream media narratives will be out in the street marching, hashtaging, and “protesting” in the middle of the “pandemic”

What a f***ing time

Lmaooo

I mean it could very well happen again in the future. Wondering what the fall out will be if trump loses bigly (not that bigly)

damn even cali & new york

reagan was the governor of cali he was hella popular out there

only polls to trust is

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast

they have also updated the system for this year to account for even more trump support and they got biden 10+