I'll say over but I think thats a good over/under point even though it seems low

probably expecting around 225k

I'm saying under around 160-180, but honestly it depends on two things for me

#1 how fast the pre-release physicals ship

and #2 if their is an immediate hit on the album like bad guy was on the debut because all her singles have only been declining in terms of popularity post-release since "therefore I am" which was the only real "hit" she's had for any of the songs on the album so far

She's doing bundles and also has the type of fanbase that will BUY the album, soo... idk, it's hard to guess cause the singles were mid. I only liked Therefore I Am and I think she's keeping it.

I'm going with over 200k but not so much more.

This is also going to be interesting with Lorde cause I also think her singles have been forgettable

Yeah, I looked and apparently the physicals are shipping day of release so they aren't playing about that LOL. It'll be interesting to see how that plays out because that kind of thing matters a lot. Tyler prob would've done 200K+ if all the physicals came in first week.

I still expect and overall decrease though. I think her streams are gonna be down by a lot. None of the singles are on the daily Spotify/Apple charts anymore and the album itself is only #34 pre-release.

I really think she'll need a song that is a clear hit upon release like bad guy was.

Melodrama, despite charting #1, didn't even crack 100K FW.

She'll prob do like 50-60, but yeah the hype has slowed down quite a bit and I'd like to believe it's in part to the very lackluster rollout they're doing for the album.

over, she's had pre-orders piling up for 3 months as well as box sets and vinyls all shipping week of release. her streaming numbers will probably be lackluster and that 2nd week drop will be brutal

Didn't people cancel them

i didn't hear about that, crazy if true

damn

Eh I think she’ll still pull around 90-100k

She’s not big and the singles are small but melodrama has such a tight following and she’s got physicals

I’ll say 75 max cause everyone’s numbers is down tbh

Feel like Melo had tour bundles too and no CD’s and just vinyls might mess things up too

don’t think i’ve ever heard a single person listening to either of those BTS songs, radio or streaming, yet i’ve heard good4u every place possible for months, billboard so whack

these streaming campaigns are too much. do any of you guys use last fm? the numbers BTS get on there are unreal in every sense of the word.

insanely inorganic

it’s crazy cause their US streams are bad

they get out streamed by songs outside the top 20

motley crew underperforming gonna hurt the album rollout?

just not a good lead comeback single

Hope he has on of those pop hits like Better Now. That should make people forget about Motly Crew.

Seems like the new BTS won't work as well as Butter did.

How many members are in this group anyway gahdamn

Bts gotta be a scam I swear

so some BTS stans are upset that columbia is promoting industry baby, (columbia handles BTS's distribution in the US and lil nas is signed to their label) so they've been attacking columbia's CEO on twitter

embarrassing

Article might deserve its own thread but I know ppl in here will care about it the most

When Numbers Lie: How to Spot Fake Data in Music and Why It Matters