Russo-Ukrainian War

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  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    tgdaddy

    that's wrong too, although im pretty sure ive seen a huge amount said about myanmar, the junta and the rohingya there by my peers

    Who are your peers

    My point is there isn't the same intervention particularly from the West there

    And I don't think its racism, its about money

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies
    Yuzzy

    No, it is forcing Ukraine to attempt to become one of those countries

    There is no guarantee of success, in fact I'd say theyre unlikely to succeed

    But that does not matter to the loaners

    ukraine already trying to privatise before the war, they own loads of former soviet assets it makes no sense for the state to own, it's not that big of a deal

    the conditions will probably be more to do with curtailing corruption

    ukraine wants to be another eu country, quite clearly. i dont see why selling soviet cookie factories is a big f***ing deal

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Yuzzy

    Who are your peers

    My point is there isn't the same intervention particularly from the West there

    And I don't think its racism, its about money

    Russia is an active security risk to western countries, that;s probably the biggest reason- not money

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies

    Note that Lukashenko successfully stymied a color revolution unlike whatever incompetent was in charge in Ukraine at the time

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Offline

    Note that Lukashenko successfully stymied a color revolution unlike whatever incompetent was in charge in Ukraine at the time

    cause euromaidan was decentralised and leaderless, whereas in Belarus they made the mistake of having an empowered representative. strike the shepherd and the sheep scatter

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Hurdle33 dog

    My whole point is that it's bad that the USA gains full control over Ukraine at the cost of 100000s of human lives

    Ok sure but then the US took control via Euromaidan which was relatively peaceful, and most of the bloodshed is coming from the Russian attempt to regain control. You may also question if it is worth killing off or exiling the already depleted Russian youth for the sake of the Donbas and Crimea

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies
    tgdaddy

    there is an element of saviourism yes. i own up. however it's also about shared interests. i have an interest in russia being stopped.

    and we've taken plenty of ukrainians

    people can make money off our choices in ukraine but that doesnt make the choices bad, it just means they benefit some people. no impact on the moral calculus of disincentivising land grabs

    i reiterate. failure to stop them in ukraine means eventually it’s going to be the baltics and the carpathians in trouble

    as for the conscripts, i feel for them. it’s a russian government probpem not a russian people problem. not wagner though, they are rapists who i must reluctantly recognise as humans just like us

    people can make money off our choices in ukraine but that doesnt make the choices bad, it just means they benefit some people. no impact on the moral calculus of disincentivising land grabs

    There's no benefit without disbenefit; the money being made comes from somewhere, in this case dead humans.

    "Land grabs" are one of the most basic elements of a multi state world

    Look up all the islands the US and China have claimed without regard for the people there

    This is of course not equivalent to what Russia is doing but really think about what you're saying and whether it makes sense

    i reiterate. failure to stop them in ukraine means eventually it’s going to be the baltics and the carpathians in trouble

    This is pure conjecture, I understand you may be worried as a Pole but something like that is such a large scale event, it can't happen without a true dictator like Hitler or Stalin (not necessarily 'like' them but someone with their unilateral control). Putin does not have that level, he would likely be assassinated before Russian boots enter a NATO country.

    Its the Russian governments decision but its Russian people dying so I would still say its their problem

  • Aug 18, 2023
    tgdaddy

    ukraine already trying to privatise before the war, they own loads of former soviet assets it makes no sense for the state to own, it's not that big of a deal

    the conditions will probably be more to do with curtailing corruption

    ukraine wants to be another eu country, quite clearly. i dont see why selling soviet cookie factories is a big f***ing deal

    Its not doing specific things, its that the EU now has full control over Ukraine state policies by the threat of financial destruction

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies
    Offline

    Note that Lukashenko successfully stymied a color revolution unlike whatever incompetent was in charge in Ukraine at the time

    Not entirely fabricated, he is terrible to his people (I know Belarusan immigrants)

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Yuzzy

    Not entirely fabricated, he is terrible to his people (I know Belarusan immigrants)

    immigrants aren’t always representatives of the people of the country left and i’m saying this as an immigrant

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies
    Yuzzy

    Not entirely fabricated, he is terrible to his people (I know Belarusan immigrants)

    I don’t use “color revolution” to mean “nefarious Anglo-American plot to weaken Holy Russia”, they are helped along or receive support to some degree or another if they are congruent with American security interests, but this isn’t necessarily the case, for example I don’t think the US played a large, if any, role in the (successful) Armenian protests in 2018

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Offline

    Ok sure but then the US took control via Euromaidan which was relatively peaceful, and most of the bloodshed is coming from the Russian attempt to regain control. You may also question if it is worth killing off or exiling the already depleted Russian youth for the sake of the Donbas and Crimea

    There was no invasion before the coup. The coup isn't peaceful if it triggers an invasion. Which isn't bad in itself. People usually have to kill to progress a cause. But what cause is being progressed? "ukraine independence***"? Come on

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Offline

    I don’t use “color revolution” to mean “nefarious Anglo-American plot to weaken Holy Russia”, they are helped along or receive support to some degree or another if they are congruent with American security interests, but this isn’t necessarily the case, for example I don’t think the US played a large, if any, role in the (successful) Armenian protests in 2018

    most of them just want what we have and pretending otherwise is cope.

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Yuzzy

    people can make money off our choices in ukraine but that doesnt make the choices bad, it just means they benefit some people. no impact on the moral calculus of disincentivising land grabs

    There's no benefit without disbenefit; the money being made comes from somewhere, in this case dead humans.

    "Land grabs" are one of the most basic elements of a multi state world

    Look up all the islands the US and China have claimed without regard for the people there

    This is of course not equivalent to what Russia is doing but really think about what you're saying and whether it makes sense

    i reiterate. failure to stop them in ukraine means eventually it’s going to be the baltics and the carpathians in trouble

    This is pure conjecture, I understand you may be worried as a Pole but something like that is such a large scale event, it can't happen without a true dictator like Hitler or Stalin (not necessarily 'like' them but someone with their unilateral control). Putin does not have that level, he would likely be assassinated before Russian boots enter a NATO country.

    Its the Russian governments decision but its Russian people dying so I would still say its their problem

    i'll give you a proper response later but i appreciate the constructiveness of this

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Offline

    I don’t use “color revolution” to mean “nefarious Anglo-American plot to weaken Holy Russia”, they are helped along or receive support to some degree or another if they are congruent with American security interests, but this isn’t necessarily the case, for example I don’t think the US played a large, if any, role in the (successful) Armenian protests in 2018

    We agree

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    2 replies
    tgdaddy

    ukraine already trying to privatise before the war, they own loads of former soviet assets it makes no sense for the state to own, it's not that big of a deal

    the conditions will probably be more to do with curtailing corruption

    ukraine wants to be another eu country, quite clearly. i dont see why selling soviet cookie factories is a big f***ing deal

    Yes they were, and it was wildly unpopular. The war provided the political cover they needed to carry it out

    thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2022/08/13/ukraine-the-invasion-of-capital

    As early as 2013, for instance, the World Bank provided an $89 million loan for the development of a deed and land title program needed for the commercialization of state-owned and cooperative land. In the words of a 2019 World Bank paper the aim was an “accelerating of private investment in agriculture.” That agreement, denounced at the time by Russia as a backdoor to facilitating the entry of Western multinationals, includes the promotion of “modern agricultural production … including the use of biotechnologies,” an apparent opening towards GMO crops on Ukrainian fields.

    The irony is that the 2018 URC plans were opposed by most Ukrainians. A public opinion poll found that just 12.4% supported privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOE), whereas 49.9% opposed it. (An additional 12% were indifferent, whereas 25.7% had no answer.)

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Sir Real

    Yes they were, and it was wildly unpopular. The war provided the political cover they needed to carry it out

    https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2022/08/13/ukraine-the-invasion-of-capital/

    As early as 2013, for instance, the World Bank provided an $89 million loan for the development of a deed and land title program needed for the commercialization of state-owned and cooperative land. In the words of a 2019 World Bank paper the aim was an “accelerating of private investment in agriculture.” That agreement, denounced at the time by Russia as a backdoor to facilitating the entry of Western multinationals, includes the promotion of “modern agricultural production … including the use of biotechnologies,” an apparent opening towards GMO crops on Ukrainian fields.

    The irony is that the 2018 URC plans were opposed by most Ukrainians. A public opinion poll found that just 12.4% supported privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOE), whereas 49.9% opposed it. (An additional 12% were indifferent, whereas 25.7% had no answer.)

    The funniest s*** about this is how liberals are going at Republicans for wanting privatized healthcare etc but think it's a great growth opportunity for ukraine

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Hurdle33 dog

    There was no invasion before the coup. The coup isn't peaceful if it triggers an invasion. Which isn't bad in itself. People usually have to kill to progress a cause. But what cause is being progressed? "ukraine independence***"? Come on

    Well my understanding is that the Russian state was kind of forced into military intervention in the Donbas in 2014, not by the West but by nationalist adventurers, and would not have committed at all otherwise and only really committed in 2022.

    Ukraine victory: Ukraine gradually becomes less poor and less corrupt, separate Ukrainian identity emphasized, becomes Americanized culturally

    Russian victory: Ukraine remains as poor and corrupt as it is today, Ukrainian ties with Russia emphasized, still becomes Americanized culturally but twice a year the government releases a communiqué about how gender ideology is bad

    Apparently some people think either of these are worth fighting for

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Offline

    Well my understanding is that the Russian state was kind of forced into military intervention in the Donbas in 2014, not by the West but by nationalist adventurers, and would not have committed at all otherwise and only really committed in 2022.

    Ukraine victory: Ukraine gradually becomes less poor and less corrupt, separate Ukrainian identity emphasized, becomes Americanized culturally

    Russian victory: Ukraine remains as poor and corrupt as it is today, Ukrainian ties with Russia emphasized, still becomes Americanized culturally but twice a year the government releases a communiqué about how gender ideology is bad

    Apparently some people think either of these are worth fighting for

    Ukraine victory: Ukraine gradually becomes less poor and less corrupt

    doubt tbh

  • Aug 18, 2023

    yall can quote in quote responses! use '>'! gah dam!

  • Aug 18, 2023
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    1 reply
    Choking

    Ukraine victory: Ukraine gradually becomes less poor and less corrupt

    doubt tbh

    I’m not very Optimistic, just that if either side somehow won total victory tomorrow, Ukrainian victory-Ukraine would be relatively better off economically compared to Russian victory-Ukraine 30 years from now

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Choking

    immigrants aren’t always representatives of the people of the country left and i’m saying this as an immigrant

    nah the belarus protests were organic, you can tell

    ain’t no one like him there

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Sir Real

    Yes they were, and it was wildly unpopular. The war provided the political cover they needed to carry it out

    https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2022/08/13/ukraine-the-invasion-of-capital/

    As early as 2013, for instance, the World Bank provided an $89 million loan for the development of a deed and land title program needed for the commercialization of state-owned and cooperative land. In the words of a 2019 World Bank paper the aim was an “accelerating of private investment in agriculture.” That agreement, denounced at the time by Russia as a backdoor to facilitating the entry of Western multinationals, includes the promotion of “modern agricultural production … including the use of biotechnologies,” an apparent opening towards GMO crops on Ukrainian fields.

    The irony is that the 2018 URC plans were opposed by most Ukrainians. A public opinion poll found that just 12.4% supported privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOE), whereas 49.9% opposed it. (An additional 12% were indifferent, whereas 25.7% had no answer.)

    gonna need some more detail on this polling

    but also what industries are they even pricatising? old soviet biscuit factories are of zero use- if it was railways and hospitals then yeah i get it.

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Offline

    I’m not very Optimistic, just that if either side somehow won total victory tomorrow, Ukrainian victory-Ukraine would be relatively better off economically compared to Russian victory-Ukraine 30 years from now

    look at quality of life in poland then look at quality of life in russia for an answer to which outcome is better for ukraine

  • Aug 18, 2023
    Yuzzy

    people can make money off our choices in ukraine but that doesnt make the choices bad, it just means they benefit some people. no impact on the moral calculus of disincentivising land grabs

    There's no benefit without disbenefit; the money being made comes from somewhere, in this case dead humans.

    "Land grabs" are one of the most basic elements of a multi state world

    Look up all the islands the US and China have claimed without regard for the people there

    This is of course not equivalent to what Russia is doing but really think about what you're saying and whether it makes sense

    i reiterate. failure to stop them in ukraine means eventually it’s going to be the baltics and the carpathians in trouble

    This is pure conjecture, I understand you may be worried as a Pole but something like that is such a large scale event, it can't happen without a true dictator like Hitler or Stalin (not necessarily 'like' them but someone with their unilateral control). Putin does not have that level, he would likely be assassinated before Russian boots enter a NATO country.

    Its the Russian governments decision but its Russian people dying so I would still say its their problem

    honestly- i think on utilitarian grounds i can still validly disagree- but i appreciate the constructive nature of this reply

    people are going to die anyway. appeasement is a green light for future invasions. i struggle to see how that death toll would be any lower in a scenario where it just leads to more conflict

    and sure it’s a large scale event but by then nato will have fallen apart as eastern members lose faith in it and germany and france won’t go to bat for us. yes it is conjecture, however i just do not agree with allowing this s*** to go unpunished on a philosophical level. the ukrainians do not want any of their land to be lost. yes people are dying, this is tragic and awful- however appeasement is never a long term solution. i respect your point of view, and i’m open to you being right. in fact i hope you are. however it is less implausible than you think that without a unified response to this crisis nato would slowly fade out of operational relevance.

    but let’s move to the present- what could ukraine do now? they could shoot for a peace where the lines get frozen as they are now, but that’s just going to invite russia to attack again. the only outcome that avoids russia attacking ukraine again was ukraine just giving up straight away, which would not be without a fight by disorganised militias