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  • TragedyBerlusconi

    Russia might not invade at all, it's all speculative

    But if they did I doubt they'd want the whole thing

    Its cruel for the people living in the DPR and LPR but its in Russias interest to prolong the conflict along the eastern borders without a real resolution for as long as possible

    As long as the territory is disputed Ukraine can not enter NATO because it would immediately trigger article 5

    Invasion of Ukraine with flagged Russian troops has zero benefit for Russia

    It would give NATO the excuse it needs to park an airbase as close to its borders as it could. Ive been following this stuff for a long time it will not happen

  • Jan 14, 2022
    Undecided
    https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1482000216471572482

    oh the irony

  • Jan 14, 2022

    go russia

  • Jan 16, 2022
  • Jan 16, 2022
  • Jan 16, 2022
    ·
    edited

    Ukraine is flat as a pancake

    There's no way in the event of a Russian invasion (which isn't guaranteed), ukraine could hold them back

    Quite likely they'd take the east, completely crush Ukrainian military and get a land bridge to crimea

    It's a horrifying situation that causes me great anxiety. I beg russia doesn't invade, and to be honest I beg thus never happened. There's thousands of human lives at stake

    Moreover, ukraine is unlikely to defended by anyone. It matters more to Russia than it does to rhe west, and wars are poisonous in democratic States. Public opinion won't have it.

    The best bet if the invasion happens (which it might not) is to get Sweden and Finland into nato, and prevent this potential scenario happening again

  • Jan 16, 2022
    aktvinye meropriya

    You are INSANE if you think Russia wants to invade Ukraine

    What do they gain? Ukraine is an economic s*** hole... they would have to maintain power over a mostly hostile population... theyd get hit with Iran levels of sanctions

    Thankfully Putin is too smart to draw his country into what would be their version of Vietnam

    I remember reading Ukraine would give Russia some type of power over Western Europe. Not sure what that means tho

  • Jan 17, 2022
    aktvinye meropriya

    You are INSANE if you think Russia wants to invade Ukraine

    What do they gain? Ukraine is an economic s*** hole... they would have to maintain power over a mostly hostile population... theyd get hit with Iran levels of sanctions

    Thankfully Putin is too smart to draw his country into what would be their version of Vietnam

    Russia invading Ukraine doesn't mean they want a new Afghanistan/Vietnam.

    think more about Georgia 2008, when Russia secured in a few days Ossetia and Abkhazia

  • Jan 17, 2022

    damn I gotta leave already lol

  • Jan 17, 2022

    He is a nationalist

  • Jan 17, 2022
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    1 reply

    Is this going to start a world war?

  • Jan 17, 2022
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    1 reply
    Goku

    Is this going to start a world war?

    no, NATO won't fight for Ukraine

  • Jan 17, 2022
    French

    no, NATO won't fight for Ukraine

  • Jan 17, 2022

    e-ir.info/2022/01/17/opinion-putins-obsession-with-ukraine-as-a-russian-land

    good article by renowned russia and ukraine expert taras kurzio, framing russian ambitions as imperial and motivated by terrirotiral desires

    Warning: article takes clear anti russian government line

  • Jan 17, 2022
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    1 reply

    Crimea was different. It was a rating boost after huge 2011-2012 protests. It shouldn’t have been done, but most Russians/Crimeans were supporting it and tbh it was done clean. No shooting, no bodies.
    No one would support a whole ass war because of nothing. Putin’s ratings are at their historic low now, dead teenagers will not bring it up

  • Jan 17, 2022

    Like all them mfs have children and their wealth in nato countries they ain’t starting s***

  • Jan 18, 2022
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    1 reply
    RoomOnFire

    Crimea was different. It was a rating boost after huge 2011-2012 protests. It shouldn’t have been done, but most Russians/Crimeans were supporting it and tbh it was done clean. No shooting, no bodies.
    No one would support a whole ass war because of nothing. Putin’s ratings are at their historic low now, dead teenagers will not bring it up

    ig.ft.com/how-serious-is-putin-about-russia-invading-ukraine

  • Jan 18, 2022
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    1 reply
    French

    https://ig.ft.com/how-serious-is-putin-about-russia-invading-ukraine/

    surely some moraly bankrupt fear-mongering media know the situation better than an actual citizen
    the article is bullshit, especially the prepared for the sanctions part

  • Jan 18, 2022
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    1 reply
    RoomOnFire

    surely some moraly bankrupt fear-mongering media know the situation better than an actual citizen
    the article is bullshit, especially the prepared for the sanctions part

    you're russian ?

  • Jan 18, 2022
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    1 reply
    French

    you're russian ?

    yeah

  • Jan 18, 2022
    RoomOnFire

    yeah

    ok. i personally believe that russia will act soon because it's a now or never type of situation.

    in a few years Ukraine will have enough forces (economically and military) to join definitively the western block and it will be too late for Russia to act

    but that's just my opinion

  • Jan 18, 2022

    Sweden happy to train Ukrainian troops

    Denmark provided a fund for armament

    Britain has sent anti-tank weaponry to Ukraine

  • Jan 18, 2022
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    1 reply

  • Jan 18, 2022
    GhostDeini718
    https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/1483498436129402886

    If we go by the past, the end of the winter Olympics is plausible and likely

    Also weather conditions should be best for tanks to cross. Any later and there's a risk of the steppe becoming a mud bath

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