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  • Aug 3, 2024
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    2 replies
    krishna bound

    we've been in a recession for years now but no one in the govt will admit it because they fudge numbers
    so when they say there's a "risk of recession" they really mean risk of depression

    What are some of the metrics that get fudged? Not denying what you're saying, just trying to learn more

  • Aug 4, 2024
    MrMudManMood

    What are some of the metrics that get fudged? Not denying what you're saying, just trying to learn more

    Theres no way to fudge numbers like that on economic data. Wish i had a link to the article that explained it.

  • Aug 5, 2024

    wow it is f***ing OVER

  • Aug 5, 2024
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    1 reply
    MrMudManMood

    What are some of the metrics that get fudged? Not denying what you're saying, just trying to learn more

    Post-90s and then again post 2012 metrics changed on measurements within the economy; this is largely because of divisive definitions on “market” vs “economy”. The most common definition for “recession” is historically tied to GDP. The problem is that this is not actually the sole definition (and even so GDP is a misleading metric due to the inclusion of FIRE-sector data). Common re-definitions for GDP-primary “recession” ignore other aspects such as labor markets, credit, diffusion, cash flow, or other factors. The other difference in GDP is it’s easy to define or redefine based on multiple factors - hence why you get so many distinct terms like “real GDP”/etc - again not getting into the FIRE vs non-FIRE distinction too

  • Aug 5, 2024
  • Aug 5, 2024
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    2 replies

  • Aug 5, 2024

    White collar recession

  • Aug 5, 2024

    BIDENS AMERICA

  • Aug 5, 2024
    Offline

  • Aug 5, 2024
    ·
    1 reply
    krishna bound

    Post-90s and then again post 2012 metrics changed on measurements within the economy; this is largely because of divisive definitions on “market” vs “economy”. The most common definition for “recession” is historically tied to GDP. The problem is that this is not actually the sole definition (and even so GDP is a misleading metric due to the inclusion of FIRE-sector data). Common re-definitions for GDP-primary “recession” ignore other aspects such as labor markets, credit, diffusion, cash flow, or other factors. The other difference in GDP is it’s easy to define or redefine based on multiple factors - hence why you get so many distinct terms like “real GDP”/etc - again not getting into the FIRE vs non-FIRE distinction too

    It’s not just FIRE, they make no distinction between productive and unproductive industries at all, including like retail and government stuff. So a lot of s*** gets double counted

  • Aug 5, 2024
    Big Tobacco

    It’s not just FIRE, they make no distinction between productive and unproductive industries at all, including like retail and government stuff. So a lot of s*** gets double counted

    good example of why FIRE data is complete bullshit is that buybacks and dividends are both counted as a share of GDP lmao

  • Aug 5, 2024

    ITS OFFICIAL

    Its time to vote Kamala!

  • Aug 5, 2024
  • Aug 5, 2024
    Offline

    What happened to the Ron Paul republican types? Do they still exist?

  • Aug 7, 2024
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    1 reply

    Welp we’re in for a Great Depression tier crisis now

  • Aug 7, 2024
    Big Tobacco

    Welp we’re in for a Great Depression tier crisis now

    https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1820961181118689476

    It’s over

  • Aug 7, 2024
    ·
    1 reply

    Just imagine if the FED would do their job

  • Aug 7, 2024
    HURRYUPSONIC
    https://twitter.com/newswire_us/status/1821201144489611577

    Just imagine if the FED would do their job

    CUT THE RATES JEROME

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