why would f***ing garbage like Midsommar be anywhere near a masterpiece like lighthouse

Lol Midsommar is not getting nominated for anything. Hopefully Willem Dafoe for The Lighthouse

Need a thread to talk about black twitter, and their new hate for Daniel Kaluuya. Which leads to a bigger conversation of british actors taking american actors "jobs/roles".

What awards are u guys gonna win?
Best Cinematography 2030
Best Documentary 2028

Best supporting actress 2022

Feel like best pic might be parasite just cus the academy will run w the narrative of giving the first best pic Oscar to a foreign movie (my favorite movie was beach bum so no shot of that lmfao)

Best male lead performance needs to be Shia for Honey Boy

Best supporting needs to be Brad in OUATIH

Best female lead needs to be Renee Zellweger for Judy or Elizabeth Moss for Her Smell

Best cinematography Lighthouse

Best original screenplay Upon a Time

Sooooo curious to see if joker gets a single nom

I'd be extremely surprised if Joaquin doesn't get a nod at least.

In a perfect world The Lighthouse would sweep

getting snubbed for best director in the future I already know

Once Upon A Time is getting a hard push rn by the industry, I can see it winning best picture tbh.

It’s not a Netflix/streaming produced movie, made a ton of money at the box office and has the nostalgia aspect for Hollywood voters. JoJo Rabbit can be a sleeper too

really hope Pesci gets love too, should be be a shoe in for a best supporting actor nod

need to see that Elizabeth Moss film, also rooting for Shia, he deserves all the love tbh

Best Picture 2031
Best Director 2031

Same will eventually win it tho

First of all is the best actor category pretty much down to a two man race between Phoenix & Driver, secondly Shia's going for best supporting actor from what I recall and even there are there great competition ahead, the Pitt's, Pacino's & Hanks'. If he even get's recognized would it be a surprise imo and should be considered a win alone for this year has a lot going for it, a lot of big industry names and films in the same field reason why 'artsy' films like Lighthouse won't do much if anything at the Oscars this year.

No way Academy gives it to a white male lead film

It’s probably going to be Bombshell or some s***

Y’all can be in this thread predicting all y’all want, knowing the Academy Hustlers will get a Best Picture nom lmao

All the frontrunners are "white male lead" tho, with Marriage Story & Parasite being the exception lol

Keep in mind that the “front runners” are what critics been gassing up. Nobody thought Green Book was a front runner until the night of the Oscars

With a more diverse academy, it’s going to lead to them picking a SJW bait film, and I can see some s*** like Bombshell or Little Women win

that's such an Oscars thing to do

Could definitely see Parasite getting some underserved wins.
Best actor is Joaquin's most likely, could see Leo sneaking it in.
Dafoe has a big shot at supporting.
Haven't seen the movie but I could see Mendes getting best director and/or movie winning in Cinematography.
Foreign is Parasite's.
Tarantino has a shot at original screenplay.

Yeah, I get what you're saying but it really depends on the film itself tho. Green Book was a feel good crowdpleaser with surface level race politics labeling itself as "important", if that's not Oscar bait then I don't know what is lol (reason why I had it as a favorite last year). You have to know the crowd (academy), they love going for films that make them feel better about themselves, so if Little Women or Bombshell fit those criterias then yea, that's two birds one stone. Right now that flick is OUATIH tho (not saying it's my pick)

Production Design: The Lighthouse